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Analysis From A Macro Perspective
Strategic Intelligence and Global Economic Trends
Strategic intelligence: the large scale, typically national or international, and relatively long term information used for strategic purposes including planning of development or security impactful decisions generally at the top levels of government or business. One good example is the U.S. government might be looking at economic indicators, similarly to how a business could be looking for threats or opportunities. Regularly, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) publishes statements about growth in GDP growth, sailor balances and changes in investments. Because they illuminate longer-term changes that will require adjustments to national policies in response to shifting global power dynamics.
Technology and Security At Home
National security can be undermined by technological innovations changing at such a breakneck pace. China is reshaping global strategic landscapes through investing in artificial intelligence and quantum computing. The inclusion of holistic military strategies that incorporates these technologies can augment cyberdominance and surveillance capabilities that are essential for security at the national level.
Demography
Strategic intelligence is about trends in demographics. Japan faces potential future economic and defense risks with a declining birthrate and aging population. Population data also is a critical need and use for policymakers looking to ensure workforce and social services are available in the future, so that country needs can be met and the nation remains stable.
The study of environmental issues and the planning for their strategic governance
Governments around the world are recognizing climate change as a security risk. And the melting Arctic ice is creating new preferred shipping lanes and oil fields, which in turn creates new threats. Already, countries such as Russia and Canada are revising their strategic plans with this in mind, displaying an increased military presence within the Arctic circle.
Counterinfluence, Disinformation & Cyber Sanctio Concept Paper
If you want to know more about how to fight this information war at war with military intelligence, the topic of strategic intelligence has become front and center. The Russian meddling in the 2016 U.S election is one such reason where intelligence can play a vital role in detection and management of these kinds of threats. An important element in this is to have the capacity to process huge amounts of data, so that we can understand foreign influence operations and be able to respond accordingly.
Long-Term Planning Orientation
Energy Security Strategies
To protect the economic stability provided by those long-term energy supplies, countries pour billions of dollars into strategic intelligence. Consider how the U.S. Energy Information Administration monitors trends in global oil and gas production to anticipate future energy demand and exposure. This advance planning, allowed the U.S. to build up higher strategic petroleum reserves as a cushion against potential supply disruptions.
Infrastructure Building Initiatives
The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) of China is an indicator of long term strategic planning supported by all-encompassing intelligence forecasts. It is designed to promote greater global trade through the development of infrastructure and cut across continents such as Asia, Africa, and perhaps even beyond through infrastructure enhancement and diplomatic relations. This incorporates the strategic intelligence collected on political stability, economic capacities and regional requirements in deciding where to put these infrastructure projects and what nature.
The New Rules of the Game would have moved the Pentagon toward true agility by breaking down old walls dividing it in functions such as defense and warfare.
The US Department of Defense conducts future planning on a regular basis in the form of the Future Years Defense Program (FYDP). It is a five year projection program which predicts and leaks the budgets, forces and systems. Intelligence assessments are concerned with predicting technological developments and geopolitical shifts that could influence military preparedness and capacity.
The Geopolitical Edge in Space Exploration
Another thing to consider is that strategic intelligence on space exploration concerns nations who see new but contested territories as places to expand geopolitical power and technological primacy. So much of the Artemis program that NASA is developing to return humans to the Moon and eventually take them on to Mars is about knowing what technology capabilities we have and working with potential international partners. The goal is not only scientific advancement, it’s also about maintaining U.S. leadership in space as China and Russia ramp up competition.
Comprehensive Information Processing
There are so Many intelligence disciplines used to implement on their own.
Strategic intelligence is a composite of human intelligence (HUMINT), signals intelligence, and geospatial intelligence. An example of this integration is when cyber intelligence and SIGINT are grouped together to predict and prevent country-wide cyber threats by the United States National Security Agency (NSA). Such a comprehensive approach lends itself to a more nuanced view of you and both state and non-state actors.
Analysis
Massive data is required to be converted into actionable intelligence, organizations always adopt advanced analytics and predictive modeling. To predict where political unrest is likely to occur, the CIA offers predictive modeling that takes into account factors such as economic indicators, social media sentiment and local news reports. These models identify potential areas of instability and provide advancedwarning on where abnormal successes may warrant a diplomatic or military intervention.
Real-Time Decision Making
Decision-making at the crisis moment based on strategic intelligence is indispensable. During the 2011 operation that killed al-Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden, remarkable real-time intelligence updates were vital to the success of Navy SEAL team in Abbottabad, Pakistan. Drone surveillance and a live-feed were used to support the operation, allowing for operational tweaks throughout the day.
Cross-Domain Data Fusion
Cross domain data fusion is the process that merges information from different sources of intelligence and non-intelligence in order to provide a comprehensive operational image. During multinational efforts to track and combat maritime piracy off the Horn of Africa, countries capitalised on sighting patterns provided by satellite imagery to use shipping logs, weather data and satellite images to predict and then intercept pirate activity. CASB + SWG Fusion Provides Strategic Edge for Defense planning & implementation.
Prediction Of Future Trends
National Strategy
Strategic intelligence underpins all the economic forecasting that governments need to prepare for anticipated financial changes. The Federal Reserve uses econometric models to forecast GDP growth, inflation rates, and job trends. They help to inform US monetary policy which affects rate decisions, as well as whether the economy requires further economic stimulation to maintain stability or respond to a potential global downturn.
Expect The Technologies Of Tomorrow
Agencies with strategic intelligence, are crucial in predicting and preparing for technological breakthroughs. The U.S. National Intelligence Council evaluates how breakthrough technologies such as AI and biotechnology will change national security. They understand and use these evaluations to inform policies that enhance technological benefits, while limiting the risks of their application.
Geopolitical Risk Assessments
Geopolitical shifts and having an idea of what will happen next is cal of great importance when trying to best protect national security, influence global / regional policy. Government intelligence agencies use information stemming from the changes in political, military, and economic conditions around the world to forecast future combats and ties. Russia’s foreign policy and military investments were attributed in part to intelligence analysis that prompted NATO to adapt its defense strategies in Eastern Europe.
Predictions of Future Environmental and Climate Change
Strategic intelligence: Imagery analysis programs provide environmental monitoring to forecast effects on both national and international security. By combining satellite imagery with climate models, he predicts scenarios of Sealevel rise and extreme weather. This kind of data is essential to design nation-level strategies in case of natural disasters, and in arguing the country’s stance/plans on countering climate change with international communities.
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